Yaracuyanos vs Academia Puerto Cabello II

30 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

Yaracuyanos

Academia Puerto Cabello II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.3% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 18.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% 1.74 DRAW 23.4% 4.08 AWAY 22.0% 4.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Yaracuyanos clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.3% win probability, compared with 54.7% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Yaracuyanos has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yaracuyanos Academia Puerto Cabello II

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Yaracuyanos, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yaracuyanos Academia Puerto Cabello II

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 7.3

Yaracuyanos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yaracuyanos Academia Puerto Cabello II

The combined recent performance profile favours Yaracuyanos.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Yaracuyanos ↑ +0.06 (+3.8%)

Academia Puerto Cabello II ↑ +0.01 (+0.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.