Grasshoppers vs Aarau

24 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Grasshoppers

Aarau

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.0% DRAW 17.9% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.1% 1.45 DRAW 18.7% 4.82 AWAY 19.3% 4.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Aarau has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Grasshoppers Aarau

Shots 16.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 18.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Aarau, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Grasshoppers Aarau

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Grasshoppers Aarau

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Grasshoppers = (0.0%)

Aarau = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.