Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC

23 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Cumnock Juniors

Troon FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 25.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.5% 1.91 DRAW 24.2% 3.90 AWAY 26.2% 3.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Troon FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cumnock Juniors Troon FC

Shots 0.3 · On target 0.3 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Troon FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cumnock Juniors Troon FC

Shots allowed 0.3 · On target allowed 0.3 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Cumnock Juniors has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cumnock Juniors Troon FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Cumnock Juniors ↓ -0.04 (-2.1%)

Troon FC ↑ +0.73 (+25.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.