Rosetana vs Avezzano

23 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.9 pp

Rosetana

Avezzano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.6% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 44.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.8% 3.80 DRAW 25.8% 3.50 AWAY 50.4% 1.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Rosetana clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 28.6% win probability, compared with 23.8% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Avezzano

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rosetana Avezzano

Shots 3.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Avezzano, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rosetana Avezzano

Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Rosetana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rosetana Avezzano

The combined recent performance profile favours Rosetana.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Rosetana ↑ +0.55 (+16.9%)

Avezzano ↓ -0.16 (-8.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.