Kingstonian vs Bedfont Sports

23 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.1 pp

Kingstonian

Bedfont Sports

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.5% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 22.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% 1.83 DRAW 22.5% 4.10 AWAY 27.1% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Kingstonian substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.5% win probability, compared with 50.4% implied by the market. The 7.1 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Kingstonian

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kingstonian Bedfont Sports

Shots 18.3 · On target 8.5 Shots 2.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Kingstonian, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kingstonian Bedfont Sports

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Bedfont Sports has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kingstonian Bedfont Sports

The combined recent performance profile favours Kingstonian.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Kingstonian ↓ -0.27 (-12.9%)

Bedfont Sports ↑ +0.78 (+29.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.