Coimbra U20 vs Atletico Mineiro U20

02 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.6 pp

Coimbra U20

Atletico Mineiro U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.9% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 57.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% 4.13 DRAW 22.7% 4.20 AWAY 54.2% 1.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Atletico Mineiro U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.8% win probability, compared with 54.2% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Atletico Mineiro U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Coimbra U20 Atletico Mineiro U20

Shots 14.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 19.0 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Mineiro U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Coimbra U20 Atletico Mineiro U20

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Atletico Mineiro U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Coimbra U20 Atletico Mineiro U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico Mineiro U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Coimbra U20 ↑ +0.53 (+14.6%)

Atletico Mineiro U20 ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.