TOGB vs ROHDA Raalte

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.6 pp

TOGB

ROHDA Raalte

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 16.2% AWAY 48.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.2% 3.60 DRAW 17.0% 5.75 AWAY 55.8% 1.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates TOGB substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.9% win probability, compared with 27.2% implied by the market. The 7.6 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

TOGB has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

TOGB ROHDA Raalte

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 5.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours TOGB, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

TOGB ROHDA Raalte

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 7.3

TOGB has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

TOGB ROHDA Raalte

The combined recent performance profile favours TOGB.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

TOGB ↓ -1.72 (-32.3%)

ROHDA Raalte ↑ +0.36 (+25.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.