Gimnastica Segoviana vs UD San Sebastian Reyes

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Gimnastica Segoviana

UD San Sebastian Reyes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% DRAW 31.8% AWAY 37.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.7% 3.06 DRAW 31.3% 3.00 AWAY 38.0% 2.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gimnastica Segoviana

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Gimnastica Segoviana UD San Sebastian Reyes

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Gimnastica Segoviana, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Gimnastica Segoviana UD San Sebastian Reyes

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.0

UD San Sebastian Reyes has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Gimnastica Segoviana UD San Sebastian Reyes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Gimnastica Segoviana ↑ +0.36 (+13.3%)

UD San Sebastian Reyes ↑ +0.17 (+7.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.