Guisborough Town vs Ashington

23 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Guisborough Town

Ashington

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.2% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 23.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.4% 1.91 DRAW 24.8% 3.80 AWAY 25.7% 3.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Guisborough Town relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.2% win probability, compared with 49.4% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Guisborough Town has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guisborough Town Ashington

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guisborough Town Ashington

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Guisborough Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guisborough Town Ashington

The combined recent performance profile favours Guisborough Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Guisborough Town ↓ -0.04 (-2.1%)

Ashington ↑ +0.67 (+22.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.