Montevideo Wanderers vs Albion FC

29 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Montevideo Wanderers

Albion FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 32.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% 2.50 DRAW 30.8% 3.13 AWAY 30.7% 3.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Albion FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Montevideo Wanderers Albion FC

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Albion FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Montevideo Wanderers Albion FC

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Montevideo Wanderers Albion FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Albion FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Montevideo Wanderers ↓ -0.05 (-2.0%)

Albion FC ↓ -0.01 (-0.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.