Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado

27 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Torque

Deportivo Maldonado

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 25.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.1% 2.20 DRAW 27.7% 3.50 AWAY 28.2% 3.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Torque relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.0% win probability, compared with 44.1% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Torque has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Torque Deportivo Maldonado

Shots 12.3 · On target 7.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Torque, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Torque Deportivo Maldonado

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Torque Deportivo Maldonado

The combined recent performance profile favours Torque.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Torque ↑ +0.03 (+1.4%)

Deportivo Maldonado ↑ +0.20 (+6.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.