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England Northern League Division One · GB

Shifnal Town vs Nantwich Town

23 Sep 2026 · 20:45
STRONG EDGE HOME +6.1 pp
Shifnal Town
Nantwich Town
HOME 44.1% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 30.7%
HOME 38.0% 2.50 DRAW 25.9% 3.66 AWAY 36.1% 2.63

StochasticBet rates Shifnal Town substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.1% win probability, compared with 38.0% implied by the market. The 6.1 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Shifnal Town has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Shifnal Town Nantwich Town
Shots 14.0 · On target 7.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Shifnal Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Shifnal Town Nantwich Town
Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Shifnal Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Shifnal Town Nantwich Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Shifnal Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shifnal Town ↑ +0.40 (+19.0%)
Nantwich Town ↓ -0.12 (-4.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.