Brasil de Pelotas vs GE Gloria

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Brasil de Pelotas

GE Gloria

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.8% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 12.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.8% 1.56 DRAW 25.9% 3.60 AWAY 14.3% 6.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Brasil de Pelotas relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.8% win probability, compared with 59.8% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Brasil de Pelotas

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brasil de Pelotas GE Gloria

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Brasil de Pelotas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brasil de Pelotas GE Gloria

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brasil de Pelotas GE Gloria

The combined recent performance profile favours Brasil de Pelotas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Brasil de Pelotas = (0.0%)

GE Gloria = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.