Tristan Suarez Reserves vs Defensores de Belgrano Reserves

23 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Tristan Suarez Reserves

Defensores de Belgrano Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.1% 2.10 DRAW 30.6% 3.10 AWAY 24.3% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Defensores de Belgrano Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tristan Suarez Reserves Defensores de Belgrano Reserves

Shots 7.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Defensores de Belgrano Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tristan Suarez Reserves Defensores de Belgrano Reserves

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Tristan Suarez Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tristan Suarez Reserves Defensores de Belgrano Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Tristan Suarez Reserves ↑ +0.05 (+2.4%)

Defensores de Belgrano Reserves ↑ +0.65 (+20.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.