Sao Domingos U20 vs AS Arapiraquense U20

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Sao Domingos U20

AS Arapiraquense U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.6% DRAW 12.6% AWAY 80.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 6.9% 13.70 DRAW 13.4% 7.00 AWAY 79.7% 1.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

AS Arapiraquense U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sao Domingos U20 AS Arapiraquense U20

Shots 5.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours AS Arapiraquense U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sao Domingos U20 AS Arapiraquense U20

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.8

AS Arapiraquense U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sao Domingos U20 AS Arapiraquense U20

The combined recent performance profile favours AS Arapiraquense U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sao Domingos U20 ↑ +4.70 (+52.2%)

AS Arapiraquense U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.