Independente Atalaia U20 vs CSE U20

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Independente Atalaia U20

CSE U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.9% DRAW 20.1% AWAY 68.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.3% 7.60 DRAW 20.6% 4.55 AWAY 67.0% 1.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CSE U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Independente Atalaia U20 CSE U20

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours CSE U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Independente Atalaia U20 CSE U20

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

CSE U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Independente Atalaia U20 CSE U20

The combined recent performance profile favours CSE U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Independente Atalaia U20 ↑ +1.35 (+21.6%)

CSE U20 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.