Parana Clube U20 vs Vasco da Gama PR U20

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Parana Clube U20

Vasco da Gama PR U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 88.7% DRAW 7.2% AWAY 4.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 87.0% 1.08 DRAW 8.6% 11.00 AWAY 4.5% 21.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Parana Clube U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Parana Clube U20 Vasco da Gama PR U20

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 5.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Parana Clube U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Parana Clube U20 Vasco da Gama PR U20

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Parana Clube U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Parana Clube U20 Vasco da Gama PR U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Parana Clube U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Parana Clube U20 = (0.0%)

Vasco da Gama PR U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.