Sao Paulo Crystal FC vs Spartax

24 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Sao Paulo Crystal FC

Spartax

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 36.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% 2.80 DRAW 27.2% 3.60 AWAY 37.7% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sao Paulo Crystal FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sao Paulo Crystal FC Spartax

Shots 3.0 · On target 0.5 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Spartax, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sao Paulo Crystal FC Spartax

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.0 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.0

Sao Paulo Crystal FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sao Paulo Crystal FC Spartax

The combined recent performance profile favours Sao Paulo Crystal FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Sao Paulo Crystal FC ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Spartax ↑ +0.30 (+10.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.