Auto Esporte vs Cruzeiro PB

24 Sep 2026 · 01:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Auto Esporte

Cruzeiro PB

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.8% DRAW 15.1% AWAY 24.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.9% 1.57 DRAW 16.8% 5.50 AWAY 24.3% 3.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cruzeiro PB

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Auto Esporte Cruzeiro PB

Shots 3.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Cruzeiro PB, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Auto Esporte Cruzeiro PB

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Auto Esporte has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Auto Esporte Cruzeiro PB

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Auto Esporte ↑ +0.03 (+2.0%)

Cruzeiro PB ↓ -0.20 (-5.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.