Confianca U20 vs Aracaju FC U20

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Confianca U20

Aracaju FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 26.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.2% 1.95 DRAW 27.3% 3.30 AWAY 26.5% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Confianca U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Confianca U20 Aracaju FC U20

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 3.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Confianca U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Confianca U20 Aracaju FC U20

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 1.8

Aracaju FC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Confianca U20 Aracaju FC U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Confianca U20 = (0.0%)

Aracaju FC U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.