Necaxa U21 vs Atletico San Luis U21

23 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Necaxa U21

Atletico San Luis U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 28.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.2% 1.95 DRAW 23.7% 3.80 AWAY 30.0% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Necaxa U21 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.3% win probability, compared with 46.2% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Necaxa U21

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Necaxa U21 Atletico San Luis U21

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Necaxa U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Necaxa U21 Atletico San Luis U21

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Necaxa U21 Atletico San Luis U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Necaxa U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Necaxa U21 = (0.0%)

Atletico San Luis U21 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.