Xalisco FC vs Atletico Nayarit

23 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Xalisco FC

Atletico Nayarit

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 33.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.7% 2.34 DRAW 28.2% 3.30 AWAY 32.1% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atletico Nayarit

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Xalisco FC Atletico Nayarit

Shots 2.5 · On target 0.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Nayarit, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Xalisco FC Atletico Nayarit

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Xalisco FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Xalisco FC Atletico Nayarit

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico Nayarit.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Xalisco FC ↑ +0.09 (+4.0%)

Atletico Nayarit ↑ +0.15 (+5.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.