Tlapa Mazatecochco vs Dragones de Oaxaca II

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Tlapa Mazatecochco

Dragones de Oaxaca II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 34.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.5% 2.22 DRAW 25.6% 3.60 AWAY 32.9% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tlapa Mazatecochco

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tlapa Mazatecochco Dragones de Oaxaca II

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Tlapa Mazatecochco, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tlapa Mazatecochco Dragones de Oaxaca II

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 1.5

Dragones de Oaxaca II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tlapa Mazatecochco Dragones de Oaxaca II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tlapa Mazatecochco ↑ +0.12 (+5.7%)

Dragones de Oaxaca II = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.