AFC Wimbledon (W) vs Dulwich Hamlet (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

AFC Wimbledon (W)

Dulwich Hamlet (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.5% DRAW 18.0% AWAY 11.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.9% 1.33 DRAW 17.5% 5.55 AWAY 9.5% 10.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AFC Wimbledon (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AFC Wimbledon (W) Dulwich Hamlet (W)

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours AFC Wimbledon (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AFC Wimbledon (W) Dulwich Hamlet (W)

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 8.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Dulwich Hamlet (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AFC Wimbledon (W) Dulwich Hamlet (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

AFC Wimbledon (W) ↓ -0.17 (-11.1%)

Dulwich Hamlet (W) ↑ +5.20 (+104.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.