Artesanos Metepec FC vs Toluca U21

23 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Artesanos Metepec FC

Toluca U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 37.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.1% 2.45 DRAW 26.0% 3.50 AWAY 36.8% 2.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Artesanos Metepec FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Artesanos Metepec FC Toluca U21

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Artesanos Metepec FC Toluca U21

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Toluca U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Artesanos Metepec FC Toluca U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Artesanos Metepec FC = (0.0%)

Toluca U21 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.