Atletico Vega Real vs Jarabacoa FC

24 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Atletico Vega Real

Jarabacoa FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.9% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 12.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.9% 1.33 DRAW 18.6% 5.00 AWAY 11.5% 8.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atletico Vega Real

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Vega Real Jarabacoa FC

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Vega Real, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Vega Real Jarabacoa FC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Jarabacoa FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Vega Real Jarabacoa FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Atletico Vega Real = (0.0%)

Jarabacoa FC ↑ +2.85 (+47.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.