Chile U20 (W) vs Venezuela U20 (W)

23 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.9 pp

Chile U20 (W)

Venezuela U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.0% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% 1.86 DRAW 24.1% 4.10 AWAY 22.8% 4.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Chile U20 (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.0% win probability, compared with 53.1% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Chile U20 (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chile U20 (W) Venezuela U20 (W)

Shots 10.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Chile U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chile U20 (W) Venezuela U20 (W)

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Chile U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chile U20 (W) Venezuela U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Chile U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chile U20 (W) ↑ +0.13 (+7.7%)

Venezuela U20 (W) ↑ +0.83 (+23.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.