Zambia U20 vs Botswana U20

23 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.9 pp

Zambia U20

Botswana U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.3% DRAW 15.8% AWAY 8.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 71.4% 1.30 DRAW 18.2% 5.10 AWAY 10.4% 8.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Zambia U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 76.3% win probability, compared with 71.4% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Zambia U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zambia U20 Botswana U20

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 2.5 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours Zambia U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zambia U20 Botswana U20

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Zambia U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zambia U20 Botswana U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Zambia U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Zambia U20 ↑ +0.05 (+4.0%)

Botswana U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.