Ihud Bnei Baqa vs Hapoel Bnei Arrara Ara

24 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Ihud Bnei Baqa

Hapoel Bnei Arrara Ara

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.3% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 13.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.3% 1.42 DRAW 20.8% 4.45 AWAY 13.9% 6.69

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ihud Bnei Baqa

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ihud Bnei Baqa Hapoel Bnei Arrara Ara

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Ihud Bnei Baqa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ihud Bnei Baqa Hapoel Bnei Arrara Ara

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Hapoel Bnei Arrara Ara has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ihud Bnei Baqa Hapoel Bnei Arrara Ara

The combined recent performance profile favours Ihud Bnei Baqa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Ihud Bnei Baqa ↓ -0.02 (-1.7%)

Hapoel Bnei Arrara Ara ↑ +1.69 (+33.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.