Hapoel Hod Hasharon vs Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa

24 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Hapoel Hod Hasharon

Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.8% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 24.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.8% 1.70 DRAW 22.9% 4.00 AWAY 23.3% 3.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Hod Hasharon Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa

Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Hod Hasharon Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Hapoel Hod Hasharon has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Hod Hasharon Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Hapoel Hod Hasharon ↓ -0.03 (-1.6%)

Hapoel Kfar Qasm Shuaa ↑ +0.43 (+12.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.