Ironi Modiin vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

24 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Ironi Modiin

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.8% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 54.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.1% 4.75 DRAW 25.9% 3.50 AWAY 55.0% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ironi Modiin

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ironi Modiin Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Ironi Modiin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ironi Modiin Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 8.5 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ironi Modiin Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Ironi Modiin ↑ +0.55 (+13.1%)

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.