Austria Lustenau vs SW Bregenz

24 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Austria Lustenau

SW Bregenz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.8% 1.76 DRAW 24.6% 4.00 AWAY 19.7% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Austria Lustenau

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Austria Lustenau SW Bregenz

Shots 14.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Austria Lustenau, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Austria Lustenau SW Bregenz

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5

SW Bregenz has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Austria Lustenau SW Bregenz

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Austria Lustenau ↑ +0.26 (+17.5%)

SW Bregenz = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.