UD Santa Marta vs Salamanca CF UDS

01 Oct 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

UD Santa Marta

Salamanca CF UDS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.2% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 43.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.1% 3.40 DRAW 26.8% 3.56 AWAY 45.1% 2.12

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: UD Santa Marta

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

UD Santa Marta Salamanca CF UDS

Shots 9.3 · On target 7.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UD Santa Marta Salamanca CF UDS

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.0

UD Santa Marta has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UD Santa Marta Salamanca CF UDS

The combined recent performance profile favours UD Santa Marta.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

UD Santa Marta ↓ -0.60 (-15.0%)

Salamanca CF UDS ↑ +0.32 (+17.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.