Yangon United FC U20 vs Ayeyawady Utd U20

24 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Yangon United FC U20

Ayeyawady Utd U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.9% DRAW 13.3% AWAY 6.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.7% 1.22 DRAW 15.1% 6.20 AWAY 8.2% 11.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Yangon United FC U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 79.9% win probability, compared with 76.7% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Yangon United FC U20

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yangon United FC U20 Ayeyawady Utd U20

Shots 16.0 · On target 8.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Yangon United FC U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yangon United FC U20 Ayeyawady Utd U20

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yangon United FC U20 Ayeyawady Utd U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Yangon United FC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Yangon United FC U20 = (0.0%)

Ayeyawady Utd U20 ↑ +3.50 (+43.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.