Sagaing United FC U20 vs Chinland FC U20

24 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Sagaing United FC U20

Chinland FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.5% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 21.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.5% 1.60 DRAW 20.0% 4.60 AWAY 22.5% 4.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sagaing United FC U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 60.5% win probability, compared with 57.5% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sagaing United FC U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sagaing United FC U20 Chinland FC U20

Shots 14.0 · On target 7.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Sagaing United FC U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sagaing United FC U20 Chinland FC U20

Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 20.8 · On target allowed 9.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sagaing United FC U20 Chinland FC U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sagaing United FC U20 ↑ +0.03 (+1.8%)

Chinland FC U20 ↑ +0.20 (+5.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.