CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves

27 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Plaza Amador Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.5% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 34.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.7% 2.46 DRAW 26.5% 3.40 AWAY 36.8% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CD Arabe Unido Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.5% win probability, compared with 36.7% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Plaza Amador Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Arabe Unido Reserves Plaza Amador Reserves

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 14.8 · On target 10.3

Recent attacking output favours Plaza Amador Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Arabe Unido Reserves Plaza Amador Reserves

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 10.5

CD Arabe Unido Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Arabe Unido Reserves Plaza Amador Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Arabe Unido Reserves ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Plaza Amador Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.