Union Cocle Reserves vs Bocas

23 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Union Cocle Reserves

Bocas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 45.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.7% 3.16 DRAW 25.9% 3.50 AWAY 45.4% 2.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Bocas has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Union Cocle Reserves Bocas

Shots 12.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Union Cocle Reserves Bocas

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Union Cocle Reserves Bocas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Union Cocle Reserves ↑ +0.16 (+5.3%)

Bocas = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.