Oman FC vs Sur SC

24 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.5 pp

Oman FC

Sur SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.9% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 52.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.5% 5.82 DRAW 23.7% 4.05 AWAY 59.9% 1.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Oman FC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 21.9% win probability, compared with 16.5% implied by the market. The 5.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Oman FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Oman FC Sur SC

Shots 19.0 · On target 7.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Oman FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Oman FC Sur SC

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Oman FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Oman FC Sur SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Oman FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Oman FC ↑ +3.52 (+153.0%)

Sur SC ↓ -1.10 (-40.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.