Mawtawar SC vs Nongthymai SC

24 Sep 2026 · 08:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Mawtawar SC

Nongthymai SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 26.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.0% 1.80 DRAW 23.0% 4.00 AWAY 26.0% 3.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nongthymai SC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mawtawar SC Nongthymai SC

Shots 0.8 · On target 0.3 Shots 1.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Nongthymai SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mawtawar SC Nongthymai SC

Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.8

Mawtawar SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mawtawar SC Nongthymai SC

The combined recent performance profile favours Nongthymai SC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Mawtawar SC = (0.0%)

Nongthymai SC ↑ +0.28 (+8.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.