West Coast Rangers (W) vs Waterside Karori (W)

03 Oct 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

West Coast Rangers (W)

Waterside Karori (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.7% DRAW 17.8% AWAY 20.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.3% 1.58 DRAW 18.9% 5.11 AWAY 19.8% 4.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: West Coast Rangers (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

West Coast Rangers (W) Waterside Karori (W)

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours West Coast Rangers (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

West Coast Rangers (W) Waterside Karori (W)

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Waterside Karori (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

West Coast Rangers (W) Waterside Karori (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

West Coast Rangers (W) ↑ +0.02 (+1.5%)

Waterside Karori (W) ↑ +0.38 (+9.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.