Auckland United (W) vs Southern United (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 01:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Auckland United (W)

Southern United (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 85.5% DRAW 9.7% AWAY 4.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 83.7% 1.13 DRAW 11.0% 8.60 AWAY 5.3% 18.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Auckland United (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Auckland United (W) Southern United (W)

Shots 14.3 · On target 10.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Auckland United (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Auckland United (W) Southern United (W)

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Auckland United (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Auckland United (W) Southern United (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Auckland United (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

Auckland United (W) —

Southern United (W) —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.