Utebo vs Reus FC Reddis

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Utebo

Reus FC Reddis

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 32.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% 2.29 DRAW 28.6% 3.35 AWAY 29.5% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Reus FC Reddis relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.4% win probability, compared with 29.5% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Reus FC Reddis has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Utebo Reus FC Reddis

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Reus FC Reddis, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Utebo Reus FC Reddis

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Reus FC Reddis has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Utebo Reus FC Reddis

The combined recent performance profile favours Reus FC Reddis.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Utebo ↑ +0.38 (+20.0%)

Reus FC Reddis ↓ -0.35 (-9.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.