Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba

23 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 28.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% 2.10 DRAW 26.4% 3.40 AWAY 30.9% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.1% win probability, compared with 42.7% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 1.8 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Hapoel Ironi Arraba has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Hapoel Ironi Arraba

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed = (0.0%)

Hapoel Ironi Arraba = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.