Hapoel Migdal Haemeq vs Hapoel Nof HaGalil

23 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

Hapoel Nof HaGalil

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.8% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 39.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% 2.40 DRAW 26.5% 3.40 AWAY 36.0% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hapoel Nof HaGalil relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.3% win probability, compared with 36.0% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Nof HaGalil

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Hapoel Nof HaGalil

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 18.5 · On target 9.3

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Nof HaGalil, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Hapoel Nof HaGalil

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Hapoel Nof HaGalil

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq = (0.0%)

Hapoel Nof HaGalil = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.