South Korea U23 vs Vietnam U23

25 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

South Korea U23

Vietnam U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 82.7% DRAW 11.7% AWAY 5.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 82.1% 1.14 DRAW 12.4% 7.50 AWAY 5.5% 17.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: South Korea U23

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

South Korea U23 Vietnam U23

Shots 8.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

South Korea U23 Vietnam U23

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3

South Korea U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

South Korea U23 Vietnam U23

The combined recent performance profile favours South Korea U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

South Korea U23 ↑ +0.04 (+3.3%)

Vietnam U23 ↓ -0.50 (-2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.