Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu

24 Sep 2026 · 06:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Solomon Islands

Vanuatu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 33.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% 2.25 DRAW 26.7% 3.55 AWAY 31.2% 3.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Solomon Islands

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Solomon Islands Vanuatu

Shots 11.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 3.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Solomon Islands, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Solomon Islands Vanuatu

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 9.3 Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Vanuatu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Solomon Islands Vanuatu

The combined recent performance profile favours Vanuatu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Solomon Islands ↓ -0.12 (-5.1%)

Vanuatu ↓ -0.02 (-0.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.