Independiente Santa Fe (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)

24 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Independiente Santa Fe (W)

Deportivo Cali (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.4% DRAW 34.6% AWAY 31.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.1% 2.84 DRAW 33.7% 2.88 AWAY 32.2% 3.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Independiente Santa Fe (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Independiente Santa Fe (W) Deportivo Cali (W)

Shots 12.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Independiente Santa Fe (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Independiente Santa Fe (W) Deportivo Cali (W)

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Deportivo Cali (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Independiente Santa Fe (W) Deportivo Cali (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Independiente Santa Fe (W) ↓ -0.36 (-11.3%)

Deportivo Cali (W) ↑ +0.87 (+40.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.