Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon vs Sderot

23 Sep 2026 · 19:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Sderot

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.9% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% 1.98 DRAW 25.9% 3.50 AWAY 28.3% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Sderot

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Sderot

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.8

Sderot has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Sderot

The combined recent performance profile favours Sderot.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

Sderot ↓ -0.26 (-7.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.