Serbia U19 vs Bulgaria U19

24 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.0 pp

Serbia U19

Bulgaria U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.5% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 26.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.7% 1.76 DRAW 24.2% 3.90 AWAY 22.2% 4.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Bulgaria U19 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 26.2% win probability, compared with 22.2% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Bulgaria U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Serbia U19 Bulgaria U19

Shots 5.8 · On target 1.3 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Bulgaria U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Serbia U19 Bulgaria U19

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.5

Bulgaria U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Serbia U19 Bulgaria U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Bulgaria U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Serbia U19 ↑ +0.14 (+8.8%)

Bulgaria U19 ↑ +0.06 (+1.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.