KRC Harelbeke vs Hoogstraten VV

30 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.5 pp

KRC Harelbeke

Hoogstraten VV

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.3% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 44.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.7% 2.69 DRAW 23.4% 4.10 AWAY 40.9% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hoogstraten VV relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.3% win probability, compared with 40.9% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hoogstraten VV has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

KRC Harelbeke Hoogstraten VV

Shots 11.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 15.3 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours Hoogstraten VV, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KRC Harelbeke Hoogstraten VV

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KRC Harelbeke Hoogstraten VV

The combined recent performance profile favours Hoogstraten VV.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

KRC Harelbeke ↑ +0.04 (+1.5%)

Hoogstraten VV ↑ +0.12 (+5.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.